Interactive Tools
Working models, not slideware.
Four convictions, four instruments. Each one turns an abstract argument into a number you can set with your own inputs. Pick one to run it.
04 · The Compound Effect
Compounding Calculator
A one-time improvement adds the same slice every quarter. A compounding one builds on everything before it. Set each function’s improvement rate and watch the gap open.
Measure in
Horizon
4 quarters$2.2M
One-time approach: $1.9M · +16% more
22,018 hrs
≈ 11 full-time roles · +16% more
This is a directional illustration, not a forecast — the inputs are yours to set. But the shape is the lesson: a one-time improvement adds the same slice every quarter, while a compounding one builds on everything before it. That widening gap is why the organizations that treat AI as a program pull away from the ones running isolated pilots.
The fine print
These tools are directional illustrations built to sharpen a conversation — not forecasts, financial projections, or professional advice. Every output is generated live from the inputs you provide and the simplified assumptions built into each model; change the inputs and the numbers change. They describe patterns, not guarantees, and no specific result is promised or implied. Nothing you enter is stored or transmitted — the math runs entirely in your browser — so please don’t enter confidential figures. For decisions that carry real weight, treat these as a starting point for a proper analysis, not a substitute for one.